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The Future of Agriculture and The Food we Need for Survival
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Most people entering into a new business venture today do not think long term—what the business with be like in 10, 20 or say 30 years into the future. However, I can help give you some insight to some events that may shed light on why owning our Organic Growers project for your country has very good long term prospects. Three dramatic events will effect ALL business WORLDWIDE in not too many years to come: the oil crisis, global warming, and the population explosion in the world.
These are topics many world leaders shy away from discussing as they will be catastrophic for our planet and no one wants to take the situation seriously because it would just scare everyone. One in fact has no real solution. Where does the fuel for our cars, your bus, train, plane or delivery truck come from? Where does urea come from? How about the heat in your home and business or lubricants for machinery, tar to pave streets, or ingredients in medicines, cosmetics or almost every other thing that helps make tennis shoes, toys and ball point pens? You would be right if you said oil. However many people do not know that oil is not renewable. There is a finite amount of it-- meaning that once it is used up, that is it. It is gone! No more oil.
Of more significance is understanding where all the oil came from to begin with and how long ago it got here. Oil came from plants and other vegetation that was in the seas long ago on earth that decomposed over millions and millions of years due to global warming. That was before humans walked our planet but there was animal and plant life. With the global warming, all life forms ended and the plants and vegetation in the water decomposed, sunk down deep into the earth and through various processes of heat, etc at the right depth in the earth, it turned into oil a very long time. Now we are using up that oil in the earth from the last period of global warming when all matter of life on earth died and it will not be renewed again until the next cycle completes which will end all life once again and then millions of years later, there will be oil.
So there is no point in planning for when we get more oil. The next time oil is made, we and all forms of animal and plant life will be long gone. So we need to consider that. While oil companies announce new oil discoveries all the time, the truth is oil reserves peaked some years ago and we are using more oil daily than new oil deposits we can discover. While we hear of new deposits, they do not compensate for the amount of oil we use on a daily basis. The big oil fields worldwide are all past their peak and are now on a downward spiral. Then they will be dry! New discoveries are smaller, have oil for shorter periods of time and many are in hostile areas. World leaders do not want to discuss this, nor do the oil companies as it will cause panic but our way of life as we know it from the twentieth or twenty first centuries is going to change.
Also the easy to drill sweet oil is already being pumped daily and what oil is found now is in deeper areas, not as easy to drill, not as sweet with more sulfur (that requires more energy to produce and more greenhouse gasses) and in many instances will take more energy to bring it in then we get from it. Other discoveries are in hostile area either meaning hostile climate or hostile governments in control. Remember it takes energy to produce oil. It is not economical if it takes more energy to produce a barrel then what you get from it. This takes us momentarily into the other problem.
The more energy resulting in more greenhouse effects produced, the closer we are to global warming and the bad effects it will have on our planet. Cars, factories, homes, even animals, give off greenhouse gasses that will warm the planet; this causes climate changes of polar ice melting which is going on now and then floods. The oxygen in our water then is depleted so fish and plants die and eventual global warming of our planet takes place. Some people think the warming now is just nature doing the same old thing and we are in a cycle of natural warming but it is not real global warming. However they fail to realize the huge amount of greenhouse gasses coming from industry, cars, boats, planes and even cattle. A few hundred years ago we did not have cars, planes, or industry to do the damage to the environment so it is not “natural” as they think. There is no question the polar ice caps are melting.
You can see it on TV daily. However did you know the plants in the sea need the oxygen from the ice caps in the polar regions and as it melts and the ice disappears, there is less oxygen to make it way to the plants which will result in the vegetation in the seas dying again as it did in the last period of global warming. Once the oxygen in the water ends, plant life ends. The fish will not live without the plant life. As the polar ice caps melt, and less oxygen makes its way down the oceans, the cycle of death starts. So what do we do about the oil crisis? We hear about wind, solar, electric and nuclear power as solutions but will they also be able to make urea farmers use, lubricate machinery, tar our streets or be used in medicines? No! So there is no real total substitute for hydrocarbons yet and there may well never be.
We may find ways to heat our homes or drive our cars but in the same process some sources, like coal or ethanol from corn will use more energy that will turn into more greenhouse gasses and speed up global warming. Remember, there are three problems, not one. While the industrial world uses oil at ever increasing amounts and it is projected that the demand in those nations will continue to increase annually while supply has already peaked, both China and India are using increasing amounts of oil yearly as they industrialize and there is no extra supply to furnish them. Competition is already going on for known deposits. Prices of oil are going up, not down. This will lead to recession and depression affecting all of us, even those with oil. Countries will be turned into have and have not nations.
Those with oil will survive longer and those with out it will fight to get it or turn back to horses, bicycles and fall back 100 or more years into the past. Wars may be fought over oil and yet it will still run out in the end. Meanwhile as China and India continue to industrialize and there is no population control in India, we are faced with still a third issue that we must consider. Some scientists have projected we will produce only food enough for just 20 percent of the people on our planet. We will need to produce more food, not to feed everyone but even to feed just the twenty percent that will survive. Urea will be gone and that will leave organics, both good and bad formulas. All organics are not the same. China produces a lot of cheap passive humic acid organic fertilizer from lignite that will not respond well to the demand and conditions on earth will be adverse to farming. Global warming will produce more erratic weather with higher temperatures, more insects and harsh situations while people will demand even greater yields.
While we cannot solve the problems of the world with our project, we can suggest with our Organic Growers project where you do your own final blending of our superb fertilizer, SKAF, have control of our formulas that will help liquids penetrate the soil better, expand root growth and have natural insect deterrents to assist you, you will be in a far better position to help farmers grow needed crops. Also other natural formulas for plant virus, mold and disease will be an added bonus to you. The end of the world is not coming tomorrow but the end of our oil age is coming and so is global warming. Organic Growers project is a project for today, tomorrow and when it counts most.
I started this report in March 2008. As of the following month, April, we saw TV reports of rioting about higher prices of food all over the world. In Haiti in the Caribbean, food riots resulted in multiple deaths and the firing of the Prime Minster. Prices of rice, beans and fruits climbed at least 50% since 2007. in Egypt in the Middle East basic food costs are up 50% over last year and riots started with a planned strike; and problems existed in several countries in Africa, such as Somalia, where high food prices and shortages were cited as reasons for protests resulting in police opening fire on protesters in the Nations, capital on May 5th. In Afghanistan 400 protesters blocked a main road in protest when Pakistan stopped exporting wheat to them.
As of May there were reports of more riots but this time by people complaining about higher prices for gasoline. In India, Indonesia, around Africa and elsewhere people are unrealistically demanding prices be lowered because they are used to subsidized gasoline and their governments can no longer afford to spend so much on the subsidies. Only in China where they are not raising prices are there no complaints but without raising prices, demand is going up and not down so the problem is escalating as China is one of the modern new countries that is using more and more gasoline. With less and less oil prices must escalate and this is the tip of the iceberg as governments cannot provide cheap gas based on a subsidy when they do not have the funds for it and also support other governmental programs at the same time..
Other examples of food problems were in Mexico where tens of thousands took part in a march to protest rising cost of tortillas made from corn; India imposed bans on export or rice fearing shortages while Thailand tippled the price of rice from the January 2008 price—in just three months. Australia reported a 6 year severe drought which reduced the rice crop by 98%. Vietnam is suffering from double digit inflation while China is expected to expand the middle class by 600 million people by the year 2020 as demand grows. People in many countries were upset that they could not buy bread or other food items because they were either unavailable or they simply cost too much money.
Already the things I have mentioned in this article are happening. Oil prices continue to jump (until worldwide recession later in 2008 halted that and in fact temporarily reversed it ) and that means more cost to bring the food items to market so the price goes up. At the same time, farmers see more demand for things to make bio fuel which comes from corn and other crops so they are growing less for human consumption and more for turning into bio fuels. That means less food on the table and at higher prices. The third element is also involved. People in China and India have more money to spend now and are demanding more food crops on their tables.
In China the demand for meat is larger than ever and more corn is being used to grow the cattle to feed the Chinese demand. That means less corn on the table for people to eat. Three factors-- higher oil prices which affect urea prices and the movement of foods to market, more crops being taken away from the food chain and turned into Bio fuels (and not for human consumption) and ever increasing demand for more foods in China and India where population is exploding is not going to stop. It will only increase. We need to break the back of reliance on oil products like urea, and have farmers grow more crops.
Our SKAF price is not based on oil as such as it is natural and not going to run out as will urea. It is even more reason to have a project in each country. The future is bleak. In Mexico, climate change is blamed for more frequent droughts, new plant diseases as temperatures get hotter and of course while the cost of fertilizers have tripled, the soil has deteriorated from overuse of chemical fertilizers. Meanwhile there are more greenhouse gases and polluted water from the chemical runoff on farms. Mexico is not alone. Most of Africa is in crisis. Global grain costs have surged and pushed many more millions of people in Africa below the poverty level as they cannot afford to buy foods from other countries. Subsistence farmers needing rains to grow corn are being hurt with climate change while overuse of nitrogen based fertilizers sends more and more nitrous oxide into the atmosphere which is a potent greenhouse gas making the situation even worse.
If you think global warming is not real, consider these facts: in the Arctic, the ice is melting at an ever increasing speed. Ice is needed to reflect the rays of the sun so it does not heat the polar ice caps too much. As the ice melts, the sun is not reflected and the heat is absorbed, melting more ice. This is a self perpetuating problem. Ice melts, making it warmer, which makes more ice melt. So who does this affect? All the way in Tanzania, at the base of Mount Kilimanjaro the locals are reporting less water each season as everything is drying out. Global warming then is a concern for people worldwide. We need to not only prepare for the future of a world without oil and oil based products but recognize that the longer we rely on the urea and NPK fertilizers to solve our agriculture problems, the more we create the very problems we need to solve. Soil is not improved! Pests are not reduced! Climate changes are not controlled and food production is not going to increase. While we cannot solve the population problem ourselves, what we can do it improve soil quality, reduce pests, and reduce dependence on chemical fertilizers by switching to our Organic Growers program and using SKAF.
Yes, by year end, oil prices temporarily dropped, not due to increased supply but worldwide recession. This momentary drop is not indicative of lower prices for the future but only temporary lower demand as some drivers are conserving. Unfortunately aw history will show, as soon as the monetary problems of the world improve, drivers will go back to their old habits and there will be more gas guzzling while industry is still pumping out the greenhouse gasses. Hopefully people will not think their problems are over now, far from it. If all of this has not worried you and you think the problem does not affect everyone, consider the following news release :
On May 13, 2008: BEIJING (AP) - A thick brown cloud of soot, particles and chemicals stretching from the Persian Gulf to Asia threatens health and food supplies in the world, the U.N. reported Thursday, citing what it called the newest threat from global warming. The regional haze, known as atmospheric brown clouds, contributes to the melting of Himalayan glaciers, reduces sunlight, and helps create extreme weather conditions that impact agricultural production, according to the report commissioned by the U.N. Environment Program. These so-called "brown clouds," caused by the burning of fossil fuels, wood and plants, play a significant role in exacerbating the effects of greenhouse gases in warming up the earth's atmosphere, the report said. "Imagine for a moment a three-kilometer-thick (1.8-mile-thick) band of soot, particles, a cocktail of chemicals that stretches from the Arabic Peninsula to Asia," said Achim Steiner, U.N. undersecretary general and executive director of the UN program during a news conference on the findings. "All of this points to an even greater and urgent need to look at emissions across the planet because this is where the stories are linked in terms of greenhouse emissions and particle emissions and the impact that they're having on our global climate," he said. The phenomenon complicates the climate change scenario globally because the brown clouds also help cool the earth's surface and "masks" the impact of global warming by an average of 40 percent, the study said. Though it has been studied closely in Asia, the latest findings, conducted by an international collaboration of scientists, reveal that the brown cloud phenomenon is not unique to Asia, with pollution hotspots seen in North America, Europe, South Africa and South America. The enormous cloud masses can move across continents within three to four days, said lead scientist, Veerabhadran Ramanathan, with the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California in San Diego.
"The main message is that it's a global problem. Everyone is in someone else's backyard," said Ramanathan.
The report also noted that health problems associated with particulate pollution, which include cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, are linked to nearly 350,000 premature deaths in China and India every year, said Henning Rohde, a University of Stockholm scientist who worked on the study.
The problems were not just unique to 2008. Here are some things from 2009:
GLOBAL: Improved farming rather than more food aid?
JOHANNESBURG, 9 July 2009 (IRIN) - President Barack Obama wants the United States, the world's largest provider of food aid, to focus on agricultural development in the countries it helps support, rather than having them remain recipients.
"Quite simply, this change in mindset is that food security is part of national security," said a factsheet issued by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA); this new approach had already begun to unfold in strife-torn, food-deficit Afghanistan and Pakistan.
"This welcome and substantial shift of resources into long-term food security programming marks an important break from past policy," said Chris Barrett, an expert on food aid who teaches development economics at Cornell University. This "very important strategic shift" towards supporting agriculture "merits widespread applause".
The move comes hot on the heels of the 2008 food price crisis, which prompted the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) to call for better governance of food security.
The number of hungry climbed to more than a billion in June 2009 while the economic crisis kept reducing the affordability of food, prompting FAO to urge the G8, a group of eight of the world's richest countries meeting in L'Aquila, Italy, to devote 17 percent of their official development assistance (ODA) to agriculture in needy countries.
A similar allocation of funds had led to the successful Green Revolution of the 1970s, which prevented looming famine in Asia and Latin America, FAO reminded the gathering. Grow your own
USDA has appointed agricultural experts to 13 provincial reconstruction teams in Afghanistan since the beginning of 2009, and hopes to more than triple this number if President Barrack Obama's request for funds is approved by the US Congress.
Political unrest, recurring natural disasters and high food prices in Afghanistan have left 31 percent of the population without enough food, according to the World Food Programme (WFP). Similar events and conditions have also affected food security in Pakistan, where more than 80 percent of the population earn less than $2 a day.
Under a new strategy, led by Obama and US Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack, the USDA will help Pakistan and Afghanistan conduct research to improve the production of fruit, nuts, livestock and other agricultural products, and reduce post-harvest loss.
The department will also help develop corridors along the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan, which will not only facilitate cross-border trade but increase the potential for Afghan and Pakistani agricultural products to be exported to other countries.
At the recent G20 Summit in the United Kingdom, Obama announced that he would ask the US Congress to double financial support for agricultural development in poor countries to $1 billion in 2010.
"A portion of the additional resources [in Obama's proposed support package] is designed to support multilateral efforts to provide rapid assistance for farmers and the rural poor," said the USDA factsheet.
Since January 2008, the G8 has committed over $10 billion to short-, medium- and long-term support of food aid, nutrition interventions, social protection activities and boosting agricultural output. The G8 have affirmed their commitment to support agriculture in developing countries and said $13 billion of the pledged funds had been disbursed.
In the series of measures announced to beef up agriculture in Afghanistan and Pakistan, the US administration announced plans for $27.5 million in international assistance under the Food for Progress Program, which raises the money by selling vegetable oil bought in the US markets in the beneficiary countries.
What this means is in the future ( since it will not happen over night) there will be more farmers in third world countries encouraged to grow more crops to feed the poor rather than the more developed countries just providing food. By having local farmers produce the crops they are encouraging employment, adding to the national economies and helping everyone.
SKAF being a natural fertilizer that helps farmers get better yields with less pesticides can play an important part in this for the future.
Food Magazine reported In the publication: “Agronomy for Sustainable Development” the French Agency for Food Safety ( AFSSA) concluded that organic foods not only have more nutrients and antioxidants but contain fewer pesticides and nitrates associated with disease such as Alzheimer’s and diabetes.
Even the Chairman of the Organic Federation of Australia, Mr. Andre Leu said the study has met rigorous scientific standards unlike one done in the U.K. which experts say was flawed.
Some of the key points made in the study are:
In May 2010: It was announced a new study was completed analyzing the causes of ADHD which is a brain disease that affects many young people and makes it very hard for them to concentrate for any length of time. While inattention, hyperactivity, and impulsivity are the primary symptoms of ADHD, other behaviors have been associated with ADHD.
These behaviors may include:
the study has concluded that the cause of ADHD is pesticides used for crops.
Another value of our program is that using the SKAF organic fertilizer allows farmers to use less pesticides. Still more helpful is the fact that with our program we offer organic insect deterrents, which are not pesticides and are safe.
The worldwide weather in 2011 was even worse than in prior years. more top soil being destroyed, more crop damage and very negative things for agriculture. The demand for more and better food is even greater now and we must increase agriculture on a world wide level.
New Developments for 2014 include:
There is a movement by farmers to return to conventional, non genetically modified seeds. Many farmers believe it makes economic sense and many are finding that they can make more money now selling crops that are non GMO modified. Yield is about the same.
Monsanto and DuPont downplay non GMO seeds in favor of more expensive GM seeds and now it may be harder to find non GMO seeds but there is a movement to restrict or at least pass labeling laws so consumers know what they are eating. Connecticut is the first U.S. state to pass a labeling law. Several other U.S. states are in the process of doing the same. Hawaii has gone so far as to not only restrict the GMO’s but pesticides as well.
In Europe, Luxembourg has established regulations for GMO’s joining France and Germany. One Chinese city has banned all cultivation of generically modified crops and China recently rejected a U.S. shipment of corn which they found to be GMO and not approved.
Meanwhile Monsanto's GM sweet corn is having problems penetrating the U.S. market.
2024 is the United Nations International year of farming and the Organic Agro movement is calling for action to support and strengthen the small holder farmers who grow 70% of he world’s food.
The U.N. conference on Development reported results from 114 organic agro projects in Africa covering 2 million hectares and 1.9 million farmers showing a 116% higher crop yield on all African projects and 128% higher for just East Africa. They concluded that “ organic agriculture can be more conductive to food security in Africa then most conventional production systems and that it is more likely to be sustainable in the long term.”
SKAF will help this trend as it is totally organic, safe and effective and also helps reduce pesticide use. Costs are actually reduced.
Roger I. Lippman